Minggu, 28 November 2010

Ebook Free Our Communities - Teacher's Edition MacMillan McGraw-Hill Social Studies Grade 3By Dr. Richard Boehm

November 28, 2010 0 Comments

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Our Communities - Teacher's Edition MacMillan McGraw-Hill Social Studies Grade 3By Dr. Richard Boehm

Our Communities - Teacher's Edition

  • Sales Rank: #1984977 in Books
  • Published on: 2003
  • Format: Teacher's Edition
  • Binding: Spiral-bound
  • 359 pages

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Sabtu, 27 November 2010

Get Free Ebook A First Course in Bayesian Statistical Methods (Springer Texts in Statistics)

November 27, 2010 0 Comments

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Review

From the reviews:This is an excellent book for its intended audience: statisticians who wish to learn Bayesian methods. Although designed for a statistics audience, it would also be a good book for econometricians who have been trained in frequentist methods, but wish to learn Bayes. In relatively few pages, it takes the reader through a vast amount of material, beginning with deep issues in statistical methodology such as de Finetti’s theorem, through the nitty-gritty of Bayesian computation to sophisticated models such as generalized linear mixed effects models and copulas. And it does so in a simple manner, always drawing parallels and contrasts between Bayesian and frequentist methods, so as to allow the reader to see the similarities and differences with clarity. (Econometrics Journal) “Generally, I think this is an excellent choice for a text for a one-semester Bayesian Course. It provides a good overview of the basic tenets of Bayesian thinking for the common one and two parameter distributions and gives introductions to Bayesian regression, multivariate-response modeling, hierarchical modeling, and mixed effects models. The book includes an ample collection of exercises for all the chapters. A strength of the book is its good discussion of Gibbs sampling and Metropolis-Hastings algorithms. The author goes beyond a description of the MCMC algorithms, but also provides insight into why the algorithms work. …I believe this text would be an excellent choice for my Bayesian class since it seems to cover a good number of introductory topics and giv the student a good introduction to the modern computational tools for Bayesian inference with illustrations using R. (Journal of the American Statistical Association, June 2010, Vol. 105, No. 490)“Statisticians and applied scientists. The book is accessible to readers having a basic familiarity with probability theory and grounding statistical methods. The author has succeeded in writing an acceptable introduction to the theory and application of Bayesian statistical methods which is modern and covers both the theory and practice. … this book can be useful as a quick introduction to Bayesian methods for self study. In addition, I highly recommend this book as a text for a course for Bayesian statistics.” (Lasse Koskinen, International Statistical Review, Vol. 78 (1), 2010)“The book under review covers a balanced choice of topics … presented with a focus on the interplay between Bayesian thinking and the underlying mathematical concepts. … the book by Peter D. Hoff appears to be an excellent choice for a main reading in an introductory course. After studying this text the student can go in a direction of his liking at the graduate level.” (Krzysztof Łatuszyński, Mathematical Reviews, Issue 2011 m)“The book is a good introductory treatment of methods of Bayes analysis. It should especially appeal to the reader who has had some statistical courses in estimation and modeling, and wants to understand the Bayesian interpretation of those methods. Also, readers who are primarily interested in modeling data and who are working in areas outside of statistics should find this to be a good reference book. … should appeal to the reader who wants to keep with modern approaches to data analysis.” (Richard P. Heydorn, Technometrics, Vol. 54 (1), February, 2012)

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From the Back Cover

This book provides a compact self-contained introduction to the theory and application of Bayesian statistical methods. The book is accessible to readers having a basic familiarity with probability, yet allows more advanced readers to quickly grasp the principles underlying Bayesian theory and methods. The examples and computer code allow the reader to understand and implement basic Bayesian data analyses using standard statistical models and to extend the standard models to specialized data analysis situations. The book begins with fundamental notions such as probability, exchangeability and Bayes' rule, and ends with modern topics such as variable selection in regression, generalized linear mixed effects models, and semiparametric copula estimation. Numerous examples from the social, biological and physical sciences show how to implement these methodologies in practice. Monte Carlo summaries of posterior distributions play an important role in Bayesian data analysis. The open-source R statistical computing environment provides sufficient functionality to make Monte Carlo estimation very easy for a large number of statistical models and example R-code is provided throughout the text. Much of the example code can be run ``as is'' in R, and essentially all of it can be run after downloading the relevant datasets from the companion website for this book. Peter Hoff is an Associate Professor of Statistics and Biostatistics at the University of Washington. He has developed a variety of Bayesian methods for multivariate data, including covariance and copula estimation, cluster analysis, mixture modeling and social network analysis. He is on the editorial board of the Annals of Applied Statistics.

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Product details

Series: Springer Texts in Statistics

Hardcover: 271 pages

Publisher: Springer; 1st ed. 2009 edition (July 14, 2009)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0387922997

ISBN-13: 978-0387922997

Product Dimensions:

6.1 x 0.7 x 9.2 inches

Shipping Weight: 1.2 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

3.7 out of 5 stars

18 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#220,044 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

This book is not a first course book.... I did stats for two years before trying this book and could not get through it. I've been in stats courses for three years and even now get stuck whenever I try this book. It's just not a first course level/appropriate level for the title.It had good programming tips, but that's what redeems it.As for a first course in Bayesian, try kruschke's book with the puppies. It's much simpler to get through.

The text is fine, although as another reviewer mentioned - the homework is frustrating. None of it is the sort of problem where you can go back and follow along with work done in the chapter. Not at all good for someone who prefers to learn by first mimicking, and then exploring.No, the BIG problem is that many of the formulas are stored as images since equations are incompatible with the file format. If you try to increase the text size so you can actually read them, the formulas stay the same tiny size. Trying to use the windows accessibility tools just results in a pixelated illegible formula.I would love to have all my texts in electronic format, but not until this issue can be fixed.

Extremely overpriced! I had to pay $60 for a paperback, and there are still TYPOs in the book? Are you kidding me? The publishing industry overcharges, but never fails to deliver in quality.However, the book is excellent for it's content, particularly for someone who is unfamiliar with Bayesian stats and only intermediary familiarity with probability distributions. The concepts are well explained with examples . However, this is not a standalone book, and probably Gelman's book is worth looking at along with this.

This is an appropriate practical introduction to Bayesian methods for someone who has taken both a college-level probability and statistics course. The multidimensional examples may require a bit of linear algebra. It doesn't include much comparison with frequentist techniques, so some familiarity there would help the reader put the ideas in context.Compared to a book like Christian Robert's excellent _The Bayesian Choice_, this book may appear inadequate, because it is less than half the size, is often less dense and scholarly, and is (currently at Amazon) almost double the price. However, I'm happy I have both because Hoff's book is more practical for someone who actually wants to use Bayesian statistics in practical situations. Hoff spends a lot of time discussing simple examples with wide application, and he actually shows the R code to compute the answers with MCMC techniques.However, after reading the book, I still don't feel totally prepared to apply R in real-life Bayesian situations. It would be nice for a practical book like Hoff's to include some hands-on tips about how to do these problems (R packages to use, basic modeling strategies, common pitfalls, speed concerns, assessing convergence, etc.).

This book is a smooth introduction to the concept of Bayesian statistics. Anyone with fundamental level knowledge of college statistics could follow. The only thing which could be added to the current version is more detailed Appendix about common distributions and their conjugates.

Peter does a great job explaining material clearly. However, I really wish he offered solutions to problems in the back of the book. This would make self-learning easier.

This is an excellent book but will be easier to understand if you have a M.S. level knowledge of classical (frequentist) statistics. It is clear, concise, and has good examples.

The book is used for my Bayesian stats class. I think it's easy to read and very clear. But you should make sure you do have some prior knowledge about statistics and probability, because the author takes it as granted.

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Rabu, 17 November 2010

PDF Ebook The Art of Great Speeches: And Why We Remember ThemBy Dennis Glover

November 17, 2010 0 Comments

PDF Ebook The Art of Great Speeches: And Why We Remember ThemBy Dennis Glover

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What makes a great speech 'great'? The Art of Great Speeches uses insights from classical thinkers to reveal how great orators such as Barack Obama, Martin Luther King, the Kennedys, Al Gore and Hitler have persuaded their audiences so convincingly. Featuring excerpts of 70 of the world's greatest speeches in history and drama, this fascinating book breaks down the key elements of classical and modern oratory to reveal the rhetorical techniques that make them so memorable. It shows how master speechwriters connect with their audiences, seize a moment, project character, use facts convincingly and destroy their opponents' arguments as they try to force the hand of history or create memorable drama. Part history, part defence of oratory, part call for political inspiration, part professional handbook, The Art of Great Speeches does what no other book does - it explains why these speeches are great.

  • Sales Rank: #931376 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Cambridge University Press
  • Published on: 2011-02-07
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.98" h x .59" w x 5.98" l, .90 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 272 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

About the Author
Dennis Glover is a professional speechwriter for some of Australia's most prominent political and business leaders and an academic historian of oratory. He is a graduate of Monash University and he took a PhD in History at Cambridge University. He has worked on the staff of three federal Labor Party leaders and written speeches for two prime ministers.

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Selasa, 02 November 2010

Free Download SybilBy Flora Rheta Schreiber

November 02, 2010 0 Comments

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  • Sales Rank: #2731971 in Books
  • Published on: 1976
  • Number of items: 1
  • Binding: Paperback

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